10月雅思写作预测情况
- 10月31日小作文表格命中
- 10月24日没有命中
- 10月17日线图预警是本周预测要点
- 10月17日大作文国际化文化类命中类别
- 10月15日小作文混合图命中
- 10月15日大作文在预测课程当中作为次重点有讲解分析和提醒
- 10月10日小作文双柱图预测命中
- 10月10日大作文国庆精讲班讲解了原题
2020.10.31雅思大作文原题
Whether or not someone achieves their aims is mostly a question of luck. To what extent do you agree or disagree?
金长麟（20年雅思写作名师）雅思大作文解析
这是一个不常见的抽象类考察。即使在剑桥雅思的真题上抽象类的文章也只有一到两篇的范文，今年这是第一次考察抽象类别讨论，虽然是欧洲卷的老题，但是乍一看到还是有一定难度，写好不容易。同时预测也变难了，比较不容易猜到会出这样非常规的题目。
拿到任何题目，无论难易，先看一个要点：题目的论证要求是什么（也就是题目最后的一句话问题的形式）。To what extent do you agree or disagree?意味这这个题目可以完全写不同意，提出成功是考天赋、勤劳等因素，和运气无关。这样一来比较符合普世价值观，也容易写一些。
不依靠运气的常见观点：
- The role of being diligent and determined is more significant than luck. 努力和决心是成功关键
- Although there may have been many people reaching their goals with good luck, such good luck in most cases only comes to people who have worked hard. 即使要运气，运气也是眷顾有准备和努力的人。没有准备的人，运气不起作用。
- Luck could only lead people to short-term achievements, and there is nothing to ascertain that it would continue to exist in the long run. 短期暂时成功或可能有运气成分，长期成功一定不考运气。
偏锋参考范文
（来自网络，可以借鉴观点逻辑不能使用范文原段）：
Many people argue that luck is attributable to anybody's success and hard work. I cannot entirely agree with this opinion. 倾向或一边倒的立场和论述结构。
Chance makes only a small contribution to someone's achievement, and many people believe it takes dedication and tremendous effort to be successful. 统一观点句引导全主体段 。下面分类描写。
In many fields, especially scientific research, scientists could not hold many different patents and achieve success without infinite patience and hard work, which had a remarkable influence on our daily lives. 分类描写一，科研场景。注意一定是先写道理再举例子，最后给结论。
For example, Steve Job, who continued to pursue his dream despite being thrown out of his own business, is an excellent case of success through persistence and passion. Passion and determination led him to spend thousands of hours of coding and experimenting with creating a new operating system that significantly transformed the technology world.
Thus, the key features to succeed are enthusiasm, dedication, and hard work, which show greater importance than chance. 分类描写一结论。
Besides, there is very little hope for the student who prays every night to pass the exam to complete the test thoroughly without any research or analysis. The student must at least study hard on some key issues, and luck does the last if the test question relates to what he learned. 分类描写二，学习场景。
However, in lottery situations, it is clear to conclude that chance is why one person becomes a millionaire overnight. Nonetheless, the almost zero percent chance of winning a lottery clearly shows that luck comes only with a small stake and cannot be the answer to everyone's success. 让步段。尽管有完全依靠运气的成功，但这肯定不是主流。这种成功本身就是万分之一的运气的体现。反证了成功不依靠运气。
本文255个字，典型的是没有结尾段，但论述清晰合理并完整有力度，因此没有结尾，甚至字数不足250，都不影响整体评分。
所以有关大作文字数的问题，我在各种课程上反复都讲过。这里再给各位讲一下评判的标准：如果文章的论证是清晰的，主体段写的是完整的，结尾一段没有写完导致字数不够不影响评分。但是如果整篇文章写完了，字数明显不够，比如220-240个字，有可能是由于论证不清晰或者论证不充分扣任务回应的分，不是因为字数不够影响分数。
01 【金老师作文命中率】
金老师雅思教学20年，在过去一年中，45场考试命中38场小作文，25场以上大作文原题及相似题。
市面上其他机构预测的逻辑——就是雅思机构整理一个庞大全面的题库，可能20多篇（这个数字只会更大），你拿到这个预测之后去复习。但是只要这个题库里面有这个题目，机构就可以说命中了，但是你们究竟有没有复习到，那就不一定了，理论上只要题库够全面，命中就没什么问题。但是准确度非常差，也不是我们所说的预测的概念了。
每一场雅思考试，金长麟都会为同学们做的写作预测，不是市面上其他老师给你的大范围的预测，我们的预测题库一般在5个左右！！！
02 【我们是谁】
偏锋出国作为雅思官方的合作伙伴，多次受邀参加雅思官方培训，严格按照官方最新评分标准指导学员备考。我们是一群一心钻研教学的教书匠，校长金长麟老师从事雅思教学二十年，你的四科主讲老师相加超过三十年教龄，均海外名校归国；你的 VIP 教辅 100%来自名校英专/雅思 7+。
