10月雅思写作预测情况
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2020.10.24雅思大作文原题
Detailed descriptions of crimes in newspapers and televisions can have harmful consequences, so some people think this kind of information should be restricted. To what extent do you agree or disagree？
金长麟（20年雅思写作名师）雅思大作文解析
今天没有想到在时隔一个多月的情况下犯罪类再次考察。
媒体报导犯罪的这个题目是骨灰级的犯罪类母题，从12年到19年几乎每年都有相似或一字不差原题在考察。每个上精讲课的老师在犯罪类里也一定会讲到这个题目。所以尽管今天公开预测没有命中，但相信每个考前认真复习过大作文的考生给都会觉得不难。
这个题目有点tricky，第一个和一定要注意到的单词是：Detailed descriptions。题目的观点是有some people引导的句子，而论证背景也就是第一段支持段的核心内容，我们会写为什么详细的犯罪报导会带来不好的影响。
由于是报纸和电视上的，所以不太会写到报导不实的观点，往往是从受众人群模仿（青少年和潜在犯罪分子）和社会恐慌政府公信力失信角度来论证。反方比较简单，可以写犯罪应该报导的原因和好处，但支持限制过多的细节报导。这样写就是倾向结构。
也可以写中立，直接写这些信息的报导也是必要的，不应该限制的理由。
当然，特别提醒，这样的题目是可以写一边倒的，如果有足够的人群和公众影响分析以及例证，本文写完全支持也是给分的。值得一提的是这个题目写倾向和一边倒的更多。
支持限制的常见观点：
There is no doubt that the detailed descriptions of crimes given by most newspapers and television programs these days can be adverse for vulnerable people, especially mentally immature children. It is partly because such kind of descriptions will give children a deep negative impression. What is worse, children even will imitate the crime by learning the details from such reports.
Also, the detailed descriptions of crimes will increase the incidence of crimes. They point out that thousands of potential and amateur criminals learn how to commit a crime, becoming sophisticated criminals, after reading these reports. For example, as the details in the news show, the same means are similar to the crimes in the actual society, such as robbery, sexual offenses, and murders.
不支持限制的常见观点：
On the other hand, other people argue that it is pointless to restrict this kind of media. They probably think that the detailed descriptions of crimes are beneficial for people to prevent crimes. People will improve alert sense when they see the crime means as TV programs and newspaper shows.
(However, they hardly realize that the negatives outnumber the positives. Meanwhile, people can learn how to prevent crimes by other means such as the Internet and books. 但是这个段落往往伴随让步)
偏锋参考范文
（来自网络，可以借鉴观点逻辑，不能使用原文段落）
一边倒的写法：
When it comes to publishing the detailed criminal description on TV and newspaper, some people contend that it has a substantial negative impact. They outcry for the restriction of this sort of information on the media. In this case, I am of the honest opinion that this kind of information should be restricted to the media.
Nowadays, people can easily have this sort of violent news on television and newspapers every day. A pile of media is publishing every detail of an incident, particularly a violent event. But the problem is that in most cases, the media, particularly electronic media, do not mention whether a particular program is suitable for children or people suffering from heart diseases. Such a report may result in children being disclosed to that news without prior notice; they might suffer mentally and feel a lack of security. Likewise, a heart patient may get ill seeing the violent story on TV screens.
Besides, often media gives criminal descriptions exaggeratedly that trigger more and more same crimes instead of informing people. A detailed report of a crime scene exposed to the media could provide potential criminals with handy information, which would be tough to obtain otherwise. Details of crime in the news may make them aware of shortcomings and pitfalls and make them harder to be tracked down by the law enforcement agency. Thus, the detailed delineation of crimes aids the criminals to commit heinous crimes skillfully.
From what has been discussed above, it could be easily said that the media negatively impacts society. I feel that there need restrictions on what the news mediums may or may not do in reporting a crime scene.
01 【金老师作文命中率】
金老师雅思教学20年，在过去一年中，45场考试命中38场小作文，25场以上大作文原题及相似题。
市面上其他机构预测的逻辑——就是雅思机构整理一个庞大全面的题库，可能20多篇（这个数字只会更大），你拿到这个预测之后去复习。但是只要这个题库里面有这个题目，机构就可以说命中了，但是你们究竟有没有复习到，那就不一定了，理论上只要题库够全面，命中就没什么问题。但是准确度非常差，也不是我们所说的预测的概念了。
每一场雅思考试，金长麟都会为同学们做的写作预测，不是市面上其他老师给你的大范围的预测，我们的预测题库一般在5个左右！！！
02 【我们是谁】
偏锋出国作为雅思官方的合作伙伴，多次受邀参加雅思官方培训，严格按照官方最新评分标准指导学员备考。我们是一群一心钻研教学的教书匠，校长金长麟老师从事雅思教学二十年，你的四科主讲老师相加超过三十年教龄，均海外名校归国；你的 VIP 教辅 100%来自名校英专/雅思 7+。
